DFW Housing Market Update — July 2026

Statewide headlines have been rough for eleven months running, but the picture inside Dallas–Fort Worth is more nuanced than the top-line numbers suggest. For clients weighing a move this summer, the details matter more than the narrative.

Texas home prices have declined for eleven straight months, down roughly 0.9% year-over-year statewide as of the latest data. DFW is participating in that softening, but not leading it — Fort Worth–Arlington's price declines are actually narrowing, an early signal that this submarket is finding its footing ahead of much of the state.

Active listings across Texas are up 4.4% year-over-year, with roughly 5.2 months of supply on the market. Dallas–Fort Worth, by contrast, is essentially flat at +0.4% YoY. Translation: buyers here have more choice than they did a year ago, but nothing like the glut you'll read about in Austin or along the coast. Well-priced homes in desirable pockets are still moving.

Thirty-year mortgage rates remain in the mid-6% range. That's no longer a shock — it's the environment. Buyers who have been waiting for a return to the 4s are, in effect, sitting out the market. The clients who are transacting have adjusted their price band to the payment that actually works for them and are negotiating harder on the front end.

Statewide, homes are averaging roughly 70 days on market. For context: my own listings have run a 9-day median from list to pending — well ahead of the broader market. That gap isn't luck. It's disciplined pricing, staging, and pre-market work. In a softer market, the cost of getting the launch wrong compounds quickly.

Data sources: Texas Realtors, Texas A&M Real Estate Research Center, and Freddie Mac PMMS, as of July 2026. Figures are directional; local street-level conditions vary.